AMS3
SYSTEM_STATUS: NOMINAL · WORKER_HEARTBEAT: 5S

SONAR_MARKETS:
RECEIPTS, NOT PROMISES

Read-only cross-venue prediction-market analytics. Sonar compares founder-verified Kalshi and Polymarket markets, records what the books showed, and reconciles the result after settlement.

PAIR: JULY 2026 FOMC NO RATE CHANGESETTLED
SOURCEKALSHI
TARGETPOLYMARKET
VERIFIED2026-07-14
PAIR: JULY 2026 FOMC RATE DECREASE GREATSETTLED
SOURCEKALSHI
TARGETPOLYMARKET
VERIFIED2026-07-17
PAIR: JULY 2026 HEADLINE CPI MOM AT LEASSETTLED
SOURCEKALSHI
TARGETPOLYMARKET
VERIFIED2026-08-11
FIELD_RECORD_01

JULY CPI CAPTURE

115 spread ticks recorded through the 2026-08-12 12:30Z release. Stale or one-sided books refused, never reconstructed.

115TICKS
FIELD_RECORD_02

REGISTRY DISCIPLINE

Every pair is read against both venue rulebooks before observation. Rejections stay on the public record.

3/4PAIRS ADMITTED
FIELD_RECORD_03

SETTLEMENT WATCH

Both venue outcomes are admitted independently and reconciled after the fact. Conflicts would latch and display here.

0CONFLICTS

PAIRS_MONITOR.EXE

FOUNDER-VERIFIED REGISTRY · KALSHI ↔ POLYMARKET

PAIRS: 4REJECTED: 1
EVENT_PAIRSTATUSVERIFIEDLIFECYCLEACTION
July 2026 FOMC no rate changeSETTLED2026-07-14
RECEIPTS
July 2026 FOMC 25 bps rate decreaseREJECTED2026-07-17
RECEIPTS
July 2026 FOMC rate decrease greater than 25 bpsSETTLED2026-07-17
RECEIPTS
July 2026 headline CPI MoM at least 0.1%SETTLED2026-08-11
RECEIPTS
FALSE_ALERTS / JULY_CPI
0
SAMPLE115 TICKS
BOOKS_ONE-SIDEDREFUSED, NOT GUESSED
SETTLEMENT_CONFLICTS / ALL_TIME
0
REGISTRY4 PAIRS REVIEWED
REJECTED_IN_REVIEW1
REQUEST_ACCESS

$19/MONTH, LOCKED FOR LIFE.

Founding access is for people who want the evidence terminal when doors open. Seats are limited. Joining this list is a request, not a purchase — no payment is collected.

  • >> Cross-venue radar built on manually verified pairs
  • >> Quote freshness, rules trust, and settlement receipts
  • >> Founding price remains $19/month while membership stays active
FOUNDING_LIST.REQ
Limited founding seats · no payment collected